Match 10 · Group E · 2026-06-14 · 12:00 CDT local · NRG Stadium, Houston
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 18% chance.
Germany win
91%
Draw
7%
Curaçao win
2%
Elo
1932·1434
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Germany, columns Curaçao. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 13.0 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 18.5 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 17.2 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |