Match 101 · Semi-final · 2026-07-14 · 14:00 CDT local · AT&T Stadium, Arlington
France
Winner Match 97 vs Winner Match 98 · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
France win
28%
Draw
28%
Spain win
44%
Elo
2063·2157
Scoreline probabilities
Rows France, columns Spain. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.7 | 10.7 | 8.2 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.9 | 13.2 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 6.8 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |