Match 102 · Semi-final · 2026-07-15 · 15:00 EDT local · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
England
Winner Match 99 vs Winner Match 100 · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
England win
29%
Draw
28%
Argentina win
43%
Elo
2021·2114
Scoreline probabilities
Rows England, columns Argentina. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.7 | 10.6 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 13.3 | 8.9 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 7.0 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |