Match 12 · Group F · 2026-06-14 · 20:00 CST local · Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
Sweden
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Sweden win
48%
Draw
28%
Tunisia win
24%
Elo
1712·1628
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Sweden, columns Tunisia. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 13.3 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 9.4 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |