Match 13 · Group H · 2026-06-15 · 18:00 EDT local · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 13% chance.
Saudi Arabia win
11%
Draw
20%
Uruguay win
69%
Elo
1576·1892
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Saudi Arabia, columns Uruguay. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 11.8 | 13.4 | 9.7 | 5.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 | 3.8 | 9.7 | 8.8 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |