Match 14 · Group H · 2026-06-15 · 12:00 EDT local · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Spain
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 18% chance.
Spain win
87%
Draw
7%
Cape Verde win
6%
Elo
2157·1578
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Spain, columns Cape Verde. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.9 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 17.9 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 17.8 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 13.3 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |