Match 15 · Group G · 2026-06-15 · 18:00 PDT local · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
Iran
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Iran win
57%
Draw
25%
New Zealand win
18%
Elo
1772·1562
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Iran, columns New Zealand. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.6 | 12.1 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.8 | 9.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.4 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |