Match 16 · Group G · 2026-06-15 · 12:00 PDT local · Lumen Field, Seattle
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Belgium win
59%
Draw
24%
Egypt win
17%
Elo
1894·1696
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Belgium, columns Egypt. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.5 | 11.6 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 11.2 | 9.5 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |