Match 17 · Group I · 2026-06-16 · 15:00 EDT local · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
France
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
France win
65%
Draw
22%
Senegal win
14%
Elo
2063·1860
Scoreline probabilities
Rows France, columns Senegal. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 12.4 | 10.0 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 7.9 | 6.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |