Match 18 · Group I · 2026-06-16 · 18:00 EDT local · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
Iraq
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 15% chance.
Iraq win
8%
Draw
15%
Norway win
77%
Elo
1618·1914
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Iraq, columns Norway. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 11.1 | 6.1 | 2.7 |
| 1 | 2.9 | 7.3 | 9.4 | 7.0 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| 2 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |