Match 21 · Group L · 2026-06-17 · 19:00 EDT local · BMO Field, Toronto
Ghana
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Ghana win
37%
Draw
27%
Panama win
37%
Elo
1510·1730
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Ghana, columns Panama. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2 | 7.9 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 10.9 | 12.6 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 9.7 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |