Match 23 · Group K · 2026-06-17 · 12:00 CDT local · NRG Stadium, Houston
Portugal
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 15% chance.
Portugal win
77%
Draw
16%
DR Congo win
7%
Elo
1986·1652
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Portugal, columns DR Congo. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.3 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 15.2 | 8.0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 12.0 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 7.2 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |