Match 24 · Group K · 2026-06-17 · 20:00 CST local · Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 14% chance.
Uzbekistan win
11%
Draw
16%
Colombia win
74%
Elo
1714·1982
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Uzbekistan, columns Colombia. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 12.8 | 14.3 | 10.2 | 5.5 | 2.3 |
| 1 | 3.8 | 7.4 | 9.6 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 1.6 |
| 2 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |