Match 27 · Group B · 2026-06-18 · 15:00 PDT local · BC Place, Vancouver
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 15% chance.
Canada win
76%
Draw
17%
Qatar win
7%
Elo
1788·1421
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Canada, columns Qatar. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.8 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 15.2 | 7.1 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 12.6 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 7.8 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |