Match 27 · Group B · 2026-06-18 · 15:00 PDT local · BC Place, Vancouver

Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 15% chance.

Canada win
76%
Draw
17%
Qatar win
7%
Elo
1788·1421

Scoreline probabilities

Rows Canada, columns Qatar. Darker is more likely.

012345
06.63.10.90.10.00.0
111.87.62.10.30.00.0
215.27.12.10.40.00.0
312.65.91.40.30.00.0
47.83.70.90.10.00.0
53.91.80.40.10.00.0
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