Match 28 · Group A · 2026-06-18 · 19:00 CST local · Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Mexico
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Mexico win
57%
Draw
25%
South Korea win
18%
Elo
1875·1758
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Mexico, columns South Korea. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.9 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 10.9 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 10.8 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |