Match 30 · Group C · 2026-06-19 · 18:00 EDT local · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
Scotland
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Scotland win
25%
Draw
29%
Morocco win
47%
Elo
1782·1827
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Scotland, columns Morocco. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.9 | 11.2 | 8.7 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.0 | 13.6 | 9.5 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.2 | 6.1 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |