Match 31 · Group D · 2026-06-19 · 20:00 PDT local · Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 10% chance.
Turkey win
44%
Draw
29%
Paraguay win
27%
Elo
1911·1834
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Turkey, columns Paraguay. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.9 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.3 | 13.7 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.2 | 8.7 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |