Match 32 · Group D · 2026-06-19 · 12:00 PDT local · Lumen Field, Seattle
United States
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
United States win
52%
Draw
25%
Australia win
22%
Elo
1726·1777
Scoreline probabilities
Rows United States, columns Australia. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.8 | 12.1 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |