Match 33 · Group E · 2026-06-20 · 16:00 EDT local · BMO Field, Toronto
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Germany win
63%
Draw
22%
Ivory Coast win
15%
Elo
1932·1695
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Germany, columns Ivory Coast. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.6 | 10.3 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 12.2 | 9.2 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 8.1 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |