Match 34 · Group E · 2026-06-20 · 19:00 CDT local · Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Ecuador
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 17% chance.
Ecuador win
82%
Draw
12%
Curaçao win
6%
Elo
1938·1434
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Ecuador, columns Curaçao. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 16.5 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 14.7 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |