Match 35 · Group F · 2026-06-20 · 12:00 CDT local · NRG Stadium, Houston
Netherlands
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Netherlands win
60%
Draw
23%
Sweden win
17%
Elo
1948·1712
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Netherlands, columns Sweden. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.5 | 10.9 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 11.5 | 9.4 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |