Match 36 · Group F · 2026-06-20 · 22:00 CST local · Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Tunisia win
16%
Draw
24%
Japan win
60%
Elo
1628·1906
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Tunisia, columns Japan. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8 | 10.9 | 11.6 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 | 5.3 | 11.4 | 8.6 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |