Match 37 · Group H · 2026-06-21 · 18:00 EDT local · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
Uruguay
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 13% chance.
Uruguay win
69%
Draw
20%
Cape Verde win
11%
Elo
1892·1578
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Uruguay, columns Cape Verde. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.8 | 9.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 13.3 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 9.6 | 6.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |