Match 38 · Group H · 2026-06-21 · 12:00 EDT local · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Spain
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 18% chance.
Spain win
89%
Draw
8%
Saudi Arabia win
3%
Elo
2157·1576
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Spain, columns Saudi Arabia. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 18.5 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 18.4 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 13.8 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 8.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |