Match 39 · Group G · 2026-06-21 · 12:00 PDT local · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 13% chance.
Belgium win
63%
Draw
22%
Iran win
15%
Elo
1894·1772
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Belgium, columns Iran. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 13.0 | 10.4 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |