Match 4 · Group D · 2026-06-12 · 18:00 PDT local · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
United States
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
United States win
46%
Draw
28%
Paraguay win
26%
Elo
1726·1834
Scoreline probabilities
Rows United States, columns Paraguay. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.5 | 13.3 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 9.6 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |