Match 40 · Group G · 2026-06-21 · 18:00 PDT local · BC Place, Vancouver
New Zealand
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
New Zealand win
21%
Draw
25%
Egypt win
54%
Elo
1562·1696
Scoreline probabilities
Rows New Zealand, columns Egypt. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8 | 11.5 | 10.2 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 6.2 | 12.1 | 9.8 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |