Match 41 · Group I · 2026-06-22 · 20:00 EDT local · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
Norway
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Norway win
44%
Draw
27%
Senegal win
28%
Elo
1914·1860
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Norway, columns Senegal. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 13.0 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.2 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |