Match 42 · Group I · 2026-06-22 · 17:00 EDT local · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
France
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 17% chance.
France win
86%
Draw
11%
Iraq win
3%
Elo
2063·1618
Scoreline probabilities
Rows France, columns Iraq. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.6 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 17.4 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 15.7 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 10.7 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |