Match 43 · Group J · 2026-06-22 · 12:00 CDT local · AT&T Stadium, Arlington
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Argentina win
63%
Draw
23%
Austria win
14%
Elo
2114·1830
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Argentina, columns Austria. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.1 | 10.8 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 12.2 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |