Match 45 · Group L · 2026-06-23 · 16:00 EDT local · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
England
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 16% chance.
England win
79%
Draw
15%
Ghana win
7%
Elo
2021·1510
Scoreline probabilities
Rows England, columns Ghana. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.5 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 15.9 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 14.4 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 9.8 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |