Match 46 · Group L · 2026-06-23 · 19:00 EDT local · BMO Field, Toronto
Panama
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Panama win
15%
Draw
24%
Croatia win
61%
Elo
1730·1912
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Panama, columns Croatia. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4 | 11.9 | 11.6 | 7.1 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 1 | 4.8 | 11.3 | 9.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |