Match 47 · Group K · 2026-06-23 · 12:00 CDT local · NRG Stadium, Houston
Portugal
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 15% chance.
Portugal win
76%
Draw
16%
Uzbekistan win
8%
Elo
1986·1714
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Portugal, columns Uzbekistan. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.7 | 7.4 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 14.9 | 8.9 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 11.3 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |