Match 49 · Group C · 2026-06-24 · 18:00 EDT local · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Scotland win
15%
Draw
21%
Brazil win
64%
Elo
1782·1991
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Scotland, columns Brazil. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6 | 12.0 | 12.3 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| 1 | 4.9 | 9.8 | 9.7 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 2.2 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |