Match 5 · Group C · 2026-06-13 · 21:00 EDT local · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
Haiti
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Haiti win
14%
Draw
21%
Scotland win
64%
Elo
1548·1782
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Haiti, columns Scotland. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 11.9 | 12.4 | 8.1 | 4.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 | 4.8 | 10.1 | 9.6 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |