Match 54 · Group A · 2026-06-24 · 19:00 CST local · Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
South Africa
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 10% chance.
South Africa win
21%
Draw
26%
South Korea win
53%
Elo
1517·1758
Scoreline probabilities
Rows South Africa, columns South Korea. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1 | 10.5 | 10.2 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 1 | 6.5 | 12.3 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |