Match 57 · Group F · 2026-06-25 · 18:00 CDT local · AT&T Stadium, Arlington
Japan
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 10% chance.
Japan win
50%
Draw
27%
Sweden win
24%
Elo
1906·1712
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Japan, columns Sweden. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 7.1 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.3 | 12.8 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |