Match 58 · Group F · 2026-06-25 · 18:00 CDT local · Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Tunisia
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 13% chance.
Tunisia win
12%
Draw
20%
Netherlands win
67%
Elo
1628·1948
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Tunisia, columns Netherlands. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 11.4 | 13.1 | 9.7 | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 | 4.6 | 9.6 | 8.2 | 6.1 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |