Match 59 · Group D · 2026-06-25 · 19:00 PDT local · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
Turkey
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 10% chance.
Turkey win
38%
Draw
28%
United States win
35%
Elo
1911·1726
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Turkey, columns United States. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.7 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.5 | 13.1 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.9 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |