Match 6 · Group D · 2026-06-13 · 21:00 PDT local · BC Place, Vancouver
Australia
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Australia win
19%
Draw
26%
Turkey win
55%
Elo
1777·1911
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Australia, columns Turkey. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0 | 11.5 | 10.3 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 12.4 | 9.7 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |