Match 60 · Group D · 2026-06-25 · 19:00 PDT local · Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Paraguay win
44%
Draw
29%
Australia win
27%
Elo
1834·1777
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Paraguay, columns Australia. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.9 | 7.8 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 13.6 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.1 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |