Match 61 · Group I · 2026-06-26 · 15:00 EDT local · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
Norway
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Norway win
21%
Draw
26%
France win
54%
Elo
1914·2063
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Norway, columns France. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.9 | 11.2 | 10.2 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 6.2 | 12.2 | 9.4 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |