Match 62 · Group I · 2026-06-26 · 15:00 EDT local · BMO Field, Toronto
Senegal
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 13% chance.
Senegal win
67%
Draw
21%
Iraq win
12%
Elo
1860·1618
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Senegal, columns Iraq. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 12.9 | 9.7 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 8.7 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |