Match 64 · Group G · 2026-06-26 · 20:00 PDT local · BC Place, Vancouver
New Zealand
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 15% chance.
New Zealand win
9%
Draw
16%
Belgium win
75%
Elo
1562·1894
Scoreline probabilities
Rows New Zealand, columns Belgium. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9 | 12.4 | 14.6 | 11.2 | 6.4 | 2.9 |
| 1 | 3.4 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 2 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |