Match 66 · Group H · 2026-06-26 · 18:00 CST local · Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Uruguay
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Uruguay win
15%
Draw
23%
Spain win
62%
Elo
1892·2157
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Uruguay, columns Spain. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4 | 11.2 | 11.9 | 8.1 | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| 1 | 5.2 | 10.8 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |