Match 68 · Group L · 2026-06-27 · 17:00 EDT local · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
Croatia
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 13% chance.
Croatia win
64%
Draw
22%
Ghana win
14%
Elo
1912·1510
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Croatia, columns Ghana. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 10.7 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 12.6 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |