Match 69 · Group J · 2026-06-27 · 21:00 CDT local · Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Algeria win
27%
Draw
29%
Austria win
44%
Elo
1760·1830
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Algeria, columns Austria. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1 | 10.5 | 8.2 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |