Match 7 · Group C · 2026-06-13 · 18:00 EDT local · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Brazil win
57%
Draw
25%
Morocco win
18%
Elo
1991·1827
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Brazil, columns Morocco. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.8 | 11.8 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.8 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |