Match 71 · Group K · 2026-06-27 · 19:30 EDT local · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Colombia win
29%
Draw
29%
Portugal win
43%
Elo
1982·1986
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Colombia, columns Portugal. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.0 | 10.8 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 13.6 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.0 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |