Match 73 · Round of 32 · 2026-06-28 · 12:00 PDT local · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
South Korea
Runner-up Group A vs Runner-up Group B · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
South Korea win
23%
Draw
26%
Canada win
51%
Elo
1758·1788
Scoreline probabilities
Rows South Korea, columns Canada. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1 | 11.2 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 12.5 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 3.6 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |